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  • A Bull Trap, Within a Bear Trap, Within a Dip, Within a Bull Market

A Bull Trap, Within a Bear Trap, Within a Dip, Within a Bull Market

PLUS: Tether supply explodes, CEXs fighting CFTC and L1 Gem

Welcome fren,

State of the Market: Bear Trap or Breakout? Bitcoin Teeters on the Edge 🐻🔫💥

After a week of ups and downs, some analysts are whispering (or shouting, depending on who you ask) that the recent nosedive in Bitcoin’s price was nothing but a clever bear trap, setting the stage for a breakout that could send prices parabolic. Imagine Bitcoin as Wile E. Coyote, thinking it’s got Bitcoin trapped, only for the Road Runner to zoom past, leaving it in the dust. 

Historical fractals suggest Bitcoin might soon be heading for a parabolic rise, but there’s a big, gnarly boulder in the way: the $62,000 resistance level. If Bitcoin smashes through it, we could see short sellers get liquidated faster than Blockbuster in the Netflix era, with around $845 million worth of leveraged shorts potentially fueling the next big move. 💣💥

Bitcoin's NVT-GC Indicator Hints at a Rebound, But Is It a Trap? Bitcoin’s price is showing signs of finding a “local bottom,” with the NVT-GC indicator suggesting that the market might be ready to turn that frown upside down. But hold your horses! While this bullish signal has got some traders seeing dollar signs, others are still eyeing the exit, fearing that the worst might not be over yet. 

The NVT-GC, which compares Bitcoin’s market cap to transaction value, is basically screaming, “Hey, we might be chilling a bit too hard here,” hinting that a bottom could be in place. The last time we saw something like this in 2024, Bitcoin took off like it was on the Millennium Falcon. 🚀✨

From $50K to $60K: Bitcoin's Rollercoaster Recovery 🎢💸

Bitcoin’s dramatic recovery from just under $50,000 to over $60,000 has analysts buzzing: Michaël van de Poppe, ever the optimist, is suggesting that Bitcoin’s V-shaped recovery could lead to new all-time highs by fall, like that triumphant underdog in every sports movie ever. He’s pointing out that as long as Bitcoin stays above $57,500, we’re golden.

But not everyone is buying a ticket to the moon just yet. The ever-cautious Peter Brandt is warning that before we pop the champagne, Bitcoin might still drop below $40,000. So, while some are ready to toast to new highs, others are bracing for one last plot twist before the credits roll. 🎬🥂

So, just to be clear, is this movement a trap for bears or bulls? What if it's all of the above at the same time? 🚀🐻🐂

Chart Of The Day: BTC Was Discounted for Only Three Days 🐂🚀

The Bitcoin bull-bear market cycle indicator just flipped bullish, and it’s got crypto enthusiasts feeling like they’ve won the lottery—at least for now. After a quick flirtation with bearish territory when Bitcoin dipped below $50,000, the indicator is now signaling that the bulls are back in town. It’s like Bitcoin went on a brief clearance sale, but savvy shoppers only had a three-day window to snag it at a discount before prices rebounded above $60,000. 🛒💸

Most Important News of the Day:

-Market Movements and Stability
Tether's USDT and Circle's USDC have expanded their combined supply by $3 billion as the crypto market rebounds. 💪💰

While most miners are feeling the post-halving revenue squeeze, Riot Platforms and Bitfarms have managed to shine, increasing their production significantly. These two companies are defying the odds in an environment that's squeezing the life out of many others.  🏅

-Regulatory and Legal Developments
The IRS has introduced a new crypto tax form for 2025, and they're actually asking for industry input. Is this the start of a new era of cooperation, or just another way to make your head spin during tax season? 🧾🤔

Thailand is stepping up its crypto game with a regulatory sandbox, a Bitcoin ETF approval, and some juicy tax breaks for the sector. It looks like Thailand is all in on making itself a crypto haven. 🏖️

The SEC is ramping up its crackdown, issuing subpoenas to three crypto venture capital firms. It seems the regulator is doubling down on its mission to keep the industry on a short leash. 🔍💼

The SEC has pushed back its decision on Hashdex's combined spot Bitcoin-Ethereum ETF until September. Looks like the waiting game just got a little longer. ⏳

-Legal Disputes and Industry Reactions
In a dramatic turn of events, Celsius is suing Tether, Badger DAO, Compound, and even Netanyahu's niece and nephew over alleged improper Bitcoin sales during its market collapse. This lawsuit is shaping up to be a blockbuster in the crypto legal arena. 🏛️⚖️

Crypto.com, Gemini, and Coinbase are banding together to oppose a CFTC proposal that could spell doom for prediction markets in the U.S. The crypto industry is showing its teeth as it fights to protect this niche. 🤝🚫

Amid a crackdown by the Federal Reserve on the crypto sector, critics are questioning the impact of Harris's campaign reset on innovation. Could this be the beginning of a new era, or just more hurdles for the industry?🔄👀

Our Daily Pick: Sui, the Blockchain Speedster 🚀

Sui is a layer-1 blockchain platform that’s all about high scalability, low latency, and making life easier for developers. Think of it as the Usain Bolt of blockchains—fast, efficient, and ready to win the race. 🌐

What is it used for? 💡Sui is perfect for:

  • Decentralized Finance (DeFi): 💸 Lending, borrowing, and trading without the middleman.

  • Non-Fungible Tokens (NFTs): 🎨 For creating, trading, and managing your digital art or that pixelated cat worth more than your car.

  • Gaming: 🕹️ In-game economies, digital collectibles, and interactive experiences.

  • Social Media: 📱 Decentralized social platforms where you own your data.

Who is behind the project? 

Sui was brought to life by Mysten Labs, founded by former Meta engineers who decided to ditch social media and build something even cooler. 

Who is backing it up? 

Mysten Labs has a star-studded list of investors, including:

  • Andreessen Horowitz (a16z)

  • FTX Ventures

  • Binance Labs

  • Jump Crypto

  • Coinbase Ventures

How much have they raised and valued? 

Mysten Labs has raised over $300 million, giving them a valuation north of $2 billion. Not bad for a team that used to work on social media likes.📈

💵 What about its tokenomics? The native token, SUI, is used for:

  • Paying transaction fees 💸

  • Staking to secure the network and earn rewards 🥇

  • Governing the platform 🗳️

  • Circulating Supply: 2,596,086,127 SUI

  • Total Supply: 10,000,000,000 SUI

  • Market Cap: $2,242,578,482 ranked at #31

What are Sui's superpowers?

  • High Scalability 🚀

  • Low Latency

  • User-Friendly 😊

  • Object-Oriented Model 🧩

Problem Solved 

Sui tackles the scalability issue head-on, making it the go-to blockchain for demanding apps like DeFi and gaming.

Final Thoughts 

Sui is like the cool new kid in the blockchain world—fast, flashy, and full of potential. But in this crowded space, it’s got to prove it’s more than just hype. Keep your eyes peeled and your research thorough—this could be the next big thing. Or not. 😎